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How Do You Make Decisions?

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As a Founder or Product Owner how do you go about making decisions? This isn’t so much a philosophical question as much as it is a question of the processes, culture and values of your organization.

Although the statistics are rather imprecise, the probability of success for a new business can be intimidating.

We believe the overwhelming root cause can be traced back to two fundamental and closely related reasons:

  1. Faulty assumptions about the customer
  2. Poor decision-making processes used by the leadership team

 

So far, this blog series has spoken at length about the customer discovery process and the importance of partnering with your customers to understand why, what and how they buy. Learning about your customer is a key theme we’ll continue to explore in future posts, but I’d like to take a brief hiatus and turn our attention to how you make decisions.

Evidology is a compound word we created to highlight our belief in the importance of an evidence-based methodology as a foundation for your business.

Do you have an important decision you need to make? Perhaps it involves your Go-To-Market strategy, lead market segment, product strategy, whether (and where) to pivot, financing options, or human resource management. How you collect evidence and make an informed decision with imprecise information is a daily challenge for you and for others in your organization.

Lean Startup Fundamentals

Without a doubt, the Lean Startup movement has had a profound impact on innovation for entrepreneurs across industries. It has steered Founders and product owners to develop solutions that closely align with customer requirements, controlling cost and risk along the way.

Central to the Lean Startup methodology is an iterative process starting with a hypothesis, testing it, refining it, and actioning it.

For some, however, the blinding pursuit of speed and agility has warped the Lean process into a startup culture with quick decision-making and a fix-it-later attitude. Sadly, for 99% of startups, later never comes.

The most important aspect of the Lean Startup approach is too easily lost. Going back to the fundamentals: it’s about running an experiment, collecting results, then taking action based on an analysis of those results. This process makes for better decision-making and increases the probability of a successful outcome.

The Evidology concept validation framework we’ve discussed in this blog series is a case in point. It starts with collecting evidence to support and refine the hypothesis summarized in your value proposition. This evidence, captured in the Customer Canvas, not only gives you the framework to make effective decisions, but it helps you build a customer rapport to further test and refine your solution and make better decisions faster.

Difficult decisions deserve a framework. I hope you will enjoy this fascinating topic and that it, along with our concept validation process, will make a meaningful difference to your business.

For more information, please contact the Evidology Group.

More To Explore

Ready to Hire Your First Salesperson?

Many technical founders I’ve met with are either getting ready to hire their first salesperson or they’re frustrated with what feels like a revolving door of underperforming salespeople. What gives? Perhaps one of the most fundamental mistakes that technical Founders make is to focus on evangelizing the vision and building the product. Then, when the product approaches MVP-ready, the Founder hires a salesperson to bring in the customers. DON’T MAKE THIS MISTAKE. Sadly, this usually ends in frustration, lost time, poor employee morale and degraded investor confidence. It is one of the most common downfalls of many promising new businesses. Just as any new product goes through a beta phase followed by a production phase, I strongly encourage a phased sales process. Phase 1:  Partnership During the partnership phase, an individual (usually the Founder, CTO, CEO or perhaps even a Business Development person) is responsible for ongoing engagement with prospective customers from the concept validation phase onwards. This person is responsible for learning what’s important to the customer and how they would buy/use a new solution such as yours. You’re also freely sharing your company’s expertise with your partner to help them solve an important problem. Most importantly, this individual is responsible for closing initial customers and learning how they buy. Phase 2: Sales Armed with several happy, reference customers and a basic understanding of the buying process, you’re ready to hire a professional salesperson who is responsible for accelerating customer acquisition, learning more about how they buy and building a repeatable sales process. Only when that process is understood and you have good product/market fit, should you grow your sales team to scale. Of course, there’s a lot to unpack in these two phases, and we’ll do that in a series of upcoming blogs. Whether you’re in the Partnership phase, getting ready to hire your first salesperson or you’re frustrated with disappointing sales traction, contact us and we can help get you back on track.

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How Do You Make Better Decisions Faster?

Life as a Founder or product owner is filled with daily decisions to test your leadership – each could make or break your business. In this blog, I’d like to share an excellent framework for your most important decisions. Next week, we’ll talk about how you can apply this tool in a GoToMarket context. In my previous companies, we had a favourite expression that the quality of the decision was directly proportional to the quality of the debate. Stay factual and share your perspective in a respectful and trusting environment – never ever let the discussion get personal. I’m a particular fan of Gokul Rajaram’s SPADE framework that he created many years ago while at Square. It’s simple, easy to apply, and it touches on the important aspects of leadership such as consultation and communication. Moreover, it’s structured enough that you can easily build it into your company culture. In retrospect, we had been following a very similar approach ourselves, in our companies albeit not as formalized. Gokul has conveniently productized the SPADE framework in a handy SaaS offering, that allows distributed organizations to improve their decision-making. SPADE is an acronym for Situation, People, Alternatives, Decision and Explanation. Let’s look at each of the five steps. (I should point out that I’ve made some minor modifications to Gokul’s framework and have simply highlighted those changes with an “*”.) Situation* The start of every decision is a question that needs to be answered such as Which market segment should we pursue? What should we name this product? Set a deadline so that decisions don’t drag on Spell out your criteria to measure success (targets, metrics, objectives and constraints)* People Responsible: Who is responsible for the decision and the execution of the decision? This person typically leads the SPADE process Approver: Who is ultimately responsible for approving the decision? According to Gokul, “Typically, the approver does not vote down the decision itself, rather they veto the quality of the decision” Consulted: Who has a perspective and valuable input that should be included in the decision-making process? Informed: Who should be informed of the decision-making process and outcome* Alternatives Brainstorm to generate a comprehensive set of feasible alternatives For each alternative, list out the pros and cons. Be quantitative and draw on evidence wherever possible. Draw on relative benefits such as High/Medium/Low and consider weighting based on importance Explore ways to mitigate the risk Consider assigning probabilities to possible outcomes for each alternative* Decision Form a recommendation by presenting the alternatives to the team, asking for their feedback and taking people’s input into consideration. On contentious topics, a private vote may be effective Run your recommendation and the process by the Approver Explanation Hold a Commitment Meeting with key stakeholders to communicate the decision. It is paramount that once a decision is made, everybody supports the decision and the whole company pulls in the same direction Prepare a 1-page outline that summarizes the SPADE behind the decision and communicate it to those tagged as “informed” in the People step I believe that tools such as the SPADE framework can help you make better decisions faster with stronger buy-in from your whole team and your Board. Incorporate a decision-making framework like this into your company culture and I think you’ll find your business will be better for it. For more on our Evidence-Based methodology or for help on your Sales and Marketing strategy, please contact us directly.

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